We all know that President Trump lost to Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential election by 2.9 million popular votes or by a margin of 2.1 percentage points, but he won the electoral college votes by a comfortable margin of 77 (304 for Donald Trump vs. 227 for Hillary Clinton). Mr. Trump was lucky there too since he won the so called battleground states by small margins – Michigan by 0.3%, Wisconsin by 1%, Pennsylvania by 1.2% and Florida by 1.3%.
The Democrats have still not reeled back from that upset and most of them are despairingly keeping the grudge against Donald Trump. Although the Democrats have failed to field any formidable candidate to run against Donald Trump in 2020, Mr. Trump’s return to the White House is far from certain. It will all depend on whether he will be able to pull the country out of the Coronavirus debacle physically and economically by the summer of 2020.
The Democrats will make this the focal point of the 2020 election and will keep no stone unturned to convince the voters, “It is economy, stupid.” The voters, excluding Mr. Trump’s base, will put all their money on the effectiveness and the result of Mr. Trump’s handling of the pandemic. They will critically look into every slip, slide and fall incurred by Mr. Trump and his advisers.
The voters live in the present and they do not care about past glories. We have recent examples of President Carter and George H W Bush. Voters may very quickly forget about the best economy that the United States ever had only a month ago. If that happens and if VP Biden is elected to the White House, we’ll, most probably, have Kamal Harris as our president. Why Kamal Harris? Mr. Biden is losing it and I am not sure he will be able to run the country for long, if elected. Mr. Biden has committed to have woman as his running mate. He cannot be elected to the office without keeping his commitment. Once you are riding a tiger, you cannot dare to dismount.